Decision Analyst’s Economic Index U.S. Census Divisions December 2017

Arlington, Texas—All but one of the Economic Indices for the U.S. Census Divisions have increased in the past 12 months. The New England Census Division had the lowest score in December 2017 with a 109, which was a decrease of 3 points in the past 12 months. Meanwhile, the East North Central Census Division and the South Atlantic tied for the highest score in December 2017, each with an Index of 119. The West South Central Division followed closely behind with a score of 118.

December 2017 US Census Divisions Economic Index

United States Economic Index

The Decision Analyst U.S. Economic Index stood at 116 in December 2017, the same score as November 2017. The Index increased 2 points from December a year ago (December 2016), but was flat from November 2017 to December 2017. The past-12-month slope of the Economic Index indicates that the U.S. economy will continue to expand throughout the first half of 2018, and perhaps beyond. The Economic Index tends to lead U.S. economic activity by 6 to 12 months. Below is the past-10-year history of the U.S. Economic Index.

December 2017 US Economic Index


“The U.S. Economic Index is up 2 points over the past 12 months, an indication of moderate economic expansion and an indicator of continued GDP growth,” said Jerry W. Thomas, President/CEO of Decision Analyst. “The greatest risks to the U.S. economy in coming months, apart from political uncertainties in Washington, D.C., are ultra-low interest rates and the cumulative effects of quantitative easing. The vast floods of cheap money that the Federal Reserve has poured into the U.S. economy over the past 6 to 8 years have created a number of asset bubbles. Asset bubbles are difficult to see, and difficult to believe, when prices are rising and everyone is having fun. Unfortunately, asset bubbles don’t last forever, and when they pop, the drag on the overall economy could trigger a recession. A major stock market correction is probable during 2018. While the U.S. Economic Index points to continued GDP growth, the risks of a downturn are rising,” said Thomas.

Index History

The division-by-division results are presented in the graphs below. Remember, the Census Division graphs portray 3-month moving averages.

December 2017 New England Census Division

December 2017 Middle Atlantic Census Division

December 2017 East North Central Census Division

December 2017 West North Central Census Division

December 2017 South Atlantic Census Division

December 2017 East South Central Census Division

December 2017 West South Central Census Division

December 2017 Mountain Census Division

December 2017 Pacific Census Division

*Census Division Three-Month Moving Average

The Index numbers for the census divisions are three-month moving averages to smooth out fluctuations due to smaller sample sizes. The reported Index number averages the current month with the two previous months.


The Decision Analyst Economic Index is based on a monthly online survey of several thousand households balanced by gender, age, and geography. The scientific survey is conducted in the last 10 days of each month. The Economic Index is calculated from 9 different economic measurements using a sophisticated econometric model. The result is a snapshot of coming economic activity in each country surveyed, as seen through the eyes of representative consumers living in the respective countries.

Decision Analyst conducts its concurrent economic surveys each month in Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Colombia, France, Germany, India, Italy, Mexico, Peru, the Russian Federation, Spain, United Kingdom, and the United States. Whenever the Decision Analyst Economic Index is greater than 110, it tends to signal an expanding economy. An Index value of 90 to 110 suggests a no-growth or slow-growth economy, and near or below 90 generally indicates economic contraction. These guidelines vary by country, however.

About Decision Analyst

Decision Analyst ( is a global marketing research and analytical consulting firm specializing in strategy research, new product development, advertising testing, and advanced modeling for marketing decision optimization. For over 35 years, the firm has delivered competitive advantage to clients throughout the world in consumer packaged goods, telecommunications, retail, technology, medical, and automotive industries.

Media Contact

Cristi Allen
Phone: 1-800-ANALYSIS (262-5974) or 1-817-640-6166
Address: 604 Avenue H East
Arlington, TX 76011

Download the PDF File

Download PDF file

Interactive Economic Index

  Decision Analyst Economic Index

Click on the map above to open Decision Analyst's Interactive Map for the United States and its nine census divisions.

Logos & Images

If you are doing a story on Decision Analyst or using any of our published data, news releases or articles, you must cite "Decision Analyst" as the source of the information.

If you use any of the charts or tables from the press releases or other published materials, please email Cristi Allen at to let us know which graphics you took and for what newspaper, magazine, or website it was used.