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Release Archives | International Economic Indices May 2012
Decision Analyst's Economic Index Signals Growth in
the U.S. and Mexico,
But Contraction in Italy, Spain, France, and the U.K.
Arlington, Texas—The following graphs show the Decision Analyst Economic
Index for a number of different countries. The month-to-month trends are based
on monthly online surveys in the respective countries to provide inputs to the
Economic Index econometric model. The Index tends to be a leading indicator that
predicts economic activity six to 12 months into the future.
The U.S. economy continues to show positive trends for the future, as does
Mexico. The countries in the southern portion of Europe (France, Italy, and Spain)
are facing serious economic difficulties. The U.K. Economic Index indicates continuing
economic weakness. The Indian Economy appears to be in a downtrend. China and
Brazil continue to show signs of economic growth, but some recent weaknesses are
evident. Here are long-term graphs for the Economic Index for these and other
countries:
Three-Month Moving Average
The Index numbers for Argentina, Australia, Chile, China, Colombia, Germany,
Mexico, Peru, the Russian Federation, and Spain are 3-month moving averages to
smooth out month-to-month fluctuations. The reported Index number averages the
current month with the 2 previous months.
Methodology
The Decision Analyst Economic Index is based on a monthly Internet survey of
several thousand households balanced by gender, age, and geography. The online
survey is conducted the last 10 days of each month. The Economic Index is calculated
from 9 different economic measurements using a sophisticated econometric model.
The result is a snapshot of current economic activity in each country surveyed,
as seen through the eyes of representative consumers living in the respective
countries. Decision Analyst conducts its concurrent economic surveys each month
in Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, China, Colombia, France, Germany,
India, Italy, Mexico, Netherlands, Peru, the Russian Federation, Spain, United
Kingdom, United States, and Venezuela.
Whenever the Decision Analyst Economic Index is greater than 110, it tends
to signal an expanding economy. An Index value of 100 to 110 suggests a slow-growth
economy, and near or below 100 generally indicates economic contraction. These
guidelines vary by country, however.
About Decision Analyst
Decision Analyst (www.decisionanalyst.com) is a global marketing research and
analytical consulting firm specializing in strategy research, new product development,
advertising testing, and advanced modeling for marketing decision optimization.
For over 3 decades, the firm has delivered competitive advantage to clients
throughout the world in the consumer-packaged goods, telecommunications, retail,
technology, medical, and automotive industries.
For additional information contact:
Cristi Allen
Publicity
Email: callen@decisionanalyst.com
Phone: 1-800-ANALYSIS (262-5974) or 1-817-640-6166
Address: 604 Avenue H East
Arlington, TX 76011
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