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For Immediate Release April 3, 2007
Contact: Cristi Allen
callen@decisionanalyst.com
Phone: 817-640-6166
The Decision Analyst Economic Index Declines
Arlington, Texas (April 3, 2007)— There has been slow erosion in the
Decision Analyst U.S. Economic Index over the past five months. It dropped from
114 in October 2006 to 109 in March 2007. The decline in the Economic Index
indicates that consumers are becoming more pessimistic and suggests that the
pace of economic growth will be slower in coming months.

"Consumers' waning optimism is increasing the risks of recession, or a period
of very slow economic growth," said Jerry W. Thomas, President and CEO of
Decision Analyst, the marketing research and marketing consulting firm that
conducts the survey and derives the Economic Index. "Consumers fear higher
energy costs, higher rates of interest, stock market instability, and tighter
credit conditions in coming months, and these fears are depressing the Economic
Index."
Among the components that make up the Economic Index, the indicators that
appear to be driving the Economic Index's decline are confidence in "stocks and
mutual funds" (down 21 points), optimism about "prices paid for goods and
services" (down 8 points), and "consumer purchase intent" (down 7 points). The
only areas to show positive numbers are "corporate hiring" (up 6 points) and
"job availability" (up 1 point).
Methodology
The Decision Analyst Economic Index is based on a monthly Internet survey of
several thousand households balanced by gender, age, and geography. The survey
is typically conducted between the 20th and 27th of each month. The Index is
calculated from nine different economic measurements, using a sophisticated
econometric model. The result is a snapshot of current U.S. economic activity,
as seen through the eyes of representative consumers. Decision Analyst also
conducts concurrent economic surveys in Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada,
Chile, China, Colombia, France, Germany, India, Italy, Mexico, Netherlands,
Peru, Russian Federation, United Kingdom, and Venezuela. Whenever the Decision
Analyst Economic Index is greater than 110, it tends to signal an expanding
economy. An Index value of 100 to 110 suggests a slow-growth economy, and below
100 generally indicates economic contraction. These guidelines vary by country,
however.
About Decision Analyst
Decision Analyst (www.decisionanalyst.com) is a leading marketing research
and marketing consulting firm specializing in advertising testing, strategy
research, new product development, and advanced modeling for marketing decision
optimization. The firm delivers competitive advantage to clients throughout
the world in the consumer packaged goods, telecommunications, retail, high technology,
medical and pharmaceutical, utilities, and e-commerce industries. Decision Analyst
operates American Consumer Opinion® online, one of the world's largest Internet-based
consumer-opinion panels, with more than seven million members.
For additional information contact:
Cristi Allen
Publicity
Email: callen@decisionanalyst.com
Phone: 1.800.ANALYSIS (262.5974)
Address: 604 Avenue H East
Arlington, TX 76011
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