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You are here: Home | Press Room | Press Release Archives | July 2002 Economic Index

For Immediate Release August 8, 2002
Contact: Cristi Allen
callen@decisionanalyst.com
Phone: 817-640-6166

U.S. Economy Weakened In July

Dallas-Fort Worth—The U.S. economy weakened in July, according to the Decision Analyst U.S. Economic Index. Based on a nationwide Internet survey conducted the last 10 days of the month, the Economic Index dropped in July to 108 from June’s 111.

The uptick in consumer reports of increased business activity at their workplaces seen in June’s Economic Index was completely erased in July, as consumers reported a drop in business activities at their workplaces. Also, consumer perceptions of future stock market prices continued to trend downward.

More troubling, the Index indicates that consumers are beginning to see higher prices, and this might be reducing planned purchases. Consumer plans to buy high-ticket products within the next six months were flat.

"Consumers don’t seem to be worried about their jobs, but they do see business activity slowing down," said Jerry W. Thomas, CEO and President of Decision Analyst. "Also, consumers’ concerns about rising prices send a bad signal about possible inflation in the U.S. economy."

Methodology

The Decision Analyst Economic Index is based on a monthly Internet survey of several thousand households balanced by gender, age, and geography. The survey is conducted over the Internet during the last 10 days of each month, and the index is immediately calculated from nine different economic measurements, using a sophisticated econometric model. The result is a snapshot of current U.S. economic activity, as seen through the eyes of representative consumers. Decision Analyst also conducts similar economic research in Canada, the U.K., Germany, France, Italy, and Australia. Whenever the Decision Analyst Economic Index is greater than 110, it tends to signal an expanding economy. An index of 100 to 110 suggests a stagnant economy, and an index below 100 generally indicates economic contraction. These guidelines vary by country, however.

If you would like to be the first to receive the Decision Analyst Economic Index each month, please contact Cristi Allen by email to get on the advanced-release list.

For additional information contact:
Cristi Allen
Publicity
Email: callen@decisionanalyst.com
Phone: 1.800.ANALYSIS (262.5974)
Address: 604 Avenue H East
Arlington, TX 76011

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