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Competitive Best Practices: Win-Loss Evaluation Research
By
Joel Mincey
Successful Win-Loss research programs are built around a well-tailored research
tool that collects crucial information from decision makers and influencers who
are involved in the sales decision process. The overall goal of the research is
to determine what factors are used as decision criteria in selecting a company
for a project. Win-Loss research not only provides a valuable source of
competitive intelligence, it also sheds light on the internal working of a
company’s sales processes and cycles. Win-Loss research can:
-
Improve individual and company-wide competitive win ratios.
-
Establish clear benchmarks for understanding performance.
-
Increase the number of successful sales per employee.
-
Build a successful sales organization that is always improving.
-
Discover the reasons behind lost opportunities.
-
Increase your competitive advantage.
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Enhance your understanding of competitors.
Unlike pricing research, Win-Loss research goes further, delving into the
decision process of clients, client service issues, and the effective handling
of proposals. The end result is a tool that can provide actionable information
on competitors and a specific market.
Methodology
Many clients ask which methodology is more appropriate: qualitative (in the form
of in-depth interviews) or quantitative? A qualitative approach is best for the
client who is just beginning the Win-Loss research process. The qualitative
methodology allows for more investigation into what factors are actually at
play in the sales selection process.
The quantitative approach is then employed once the dynamics of the market and
sales process are understood and can be classified into standard metrics used
over time.
In terms of quantitative data collection, much of this research is conducted
via the telephone. In most cases this means sales representatives calling the
client or prospect and enquiring as to why the company did (or did not) win the
business. Many companies see this as a cost-effective way to learn more about
the sales process and sales cycle. While telephone interviewing is a valid data
collection methodology, having sales representatives making the calls is
fraught with peril.
The second data collection methodology is face-to-face interviewing. For many
companies with Win-Loss research programs in place, this is the preferred
method because of the ability to interact with the client, read their body
language, and probe for more in-depth responses to questions. Face-to-face
interviewing is often used in sales situations where the product or service is
expensive and/or complicated and technical.
Finally, online interviewing is also a well-recognized data collection
methodology. It provides a timely and cost-effective means of collecting a
large number of interviews. And, while a company may be limited in its ability
to fully probe on open-ended questions, online interviewing works very well
when the audience is technical.
Critical Factors
Regardless of the data collection methodology chosen, creating the right survey
instrument is critical. After all, if the right questions are not asked, in the
right way, the data may be skewed or simply not informative or actionable.
The interview should last no more than 30 minutes in person, and no more than
15 minutes on the telephone or online. It is unreasonable to assume
today’s professionals can devote more than 30 minutes to a survey. Some
key areas to focus on:
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The buying process—evaluation and selection criteria
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Decision drivers
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Multiple influencers and decision chain
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Product/Service features and functionality
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External influences on the decision process
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Branding/Marketing issues
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Commercial issues—pricing, contracts, etc.
Many companies that conduct Win-Loss research fall into the trap of using their
employees to perform the research. Clients and prospects, however, are unlikely
to be candid with the sales representative they’ve been dealing with for
some time and who have failed to meet their expectations. It is also unlikely
that the sales representatives will be candid in passing along information that
may highlight their weaknesses or be viewed in an unfavorable light.
Many clients have found it virtually impossible to get unbiased, factual information
without the help of an outside agency. Many clients have reported that in-house
researchers have found buyers unwilling to reveal their real decision criteria
for fear of offending the sales representative, or having the representative
re-engage them in the sales process. In short, data collected in this manner
may not be accurate, thus compromising the decision-making process on critical
issues.
Conducting this type of research and analysis in-house can lead to a series
of problems. A comparison of in-house versus third-party research reveals the
following differences:
Category
|
Third Party
|
In-House
|
Performing Win-Loss
Research |
Experts in data collection and analysis of Win- Loss data |
Tend to think of the research as just conducting a series of
interviews |
| Resources |
Trained, experienced, and dedicated staff working on the project |
Will do the research projects when time and resources permit |
| Methodology |
Various methodologies available—specific to the target
audience and market |
Often limited to telephone interviewing only |
| Data Analysis |
Experienced analysts use statistical software and techniques to
analyze data |
Data is often analyzed in Excel and only in topline form |
| Report Creation |
Ability to publish first class reports designed to meet the
clients’ specific needs |
Reports are often topline only, with little depth or reporting in
subgroups |
Presentation of
Results |
Senior researchers analyze data and prepare an executive summary |
Data is often presented to executives in raw form |
| Success of Research |
Very high—most customers repeat and expand their projects
based on having received actionable and relevant information |
Often moderate or low—the project tends to cost more in time
and resources than was expected and the project is deemed not worth the cost |
Reporting
Win-Loss research reports are usually composed of two types: Individual
Performance Reports and Macro Trend Reports.
The Individual Performance Report (IPR) is designed
to provide in-depth information on a particular sales opportunity. This report
provides insight into how well the sales organization performed on a specific
proposal opportunity; in particular, how well they understood the needs of the
client and how well the product or service was received by the client/prospect.
This report also provides information on how well the competition performed in
the sales process, how it positioned itself in the sales opportunity, and what
the prospect saw as its strengths or weaknesses. Ultimately the IPR provides
insight into why each prospect is selected in a specific sales opportunity.
The Macro Trend Report (MTR) is designed to present
data on a quarterly basis and provides an overview of all the sales opportunities
in a specific quarter. Its primary focus is on the business trends appearing
in your market, which include:
-
The perceived positioning and pricing of the competition
-
Emerging competitors in the market
-
Strengths and weaknesses of your product or service offerings
Advanced Analytics
Sample sizes in Win-Loss research often vary widely according to the price of
the product or service (the higher the costs, the fewer “buyers”
there normally are). Where there is enough sample, additional analysis can be
conducted.
In addition to standard analytic procedures, Win-Loss research normally employs
several multivariate analytical techniques to better understand the motivation
and decision-making process of your clients.
Derived importance analysis is a statistical technique
designed to understand the underlying factors that drive the decision process.
For example, in most stated importance questions price normally rises to the
surface as one of if not the most important factor in the selection criteria.
Derived importance analysis digs deeper to understand what factors actually
drive the decision-making process.
Factor analysis is another technique used to better
understand how clients view the marketplace in regard to brand attributes and
perceptions. This technique groups brands with their associated attributes and
displays them in a graphic format known as a perceptual map.

As the above example indicates, the map identifies the distinguishing
characteristics of a brand and
those of its competitors, and provides information on which factors are seen as
“cost of entry” by the client. This analysis allows for better
tailoring of proposals so that they highlight a client’s strengths, while
also exploiting the weaknesses of competitors.
In addition to these techniques, there is an entire suite of advanced analytical
tools specifically designed to give in-depth information on the performance in
the sales cycle and the performance of competitors. These additional techniques
include: regression analysis, discriminant modeling, cluster
analysis, and conjoint modeling.
Conclusions and Recommendations
A Win-Loss analysis will reveal the risks and opportunities associated with
sales strategies, competitors’ strategies, and target markets. A marketer
can learn about the marketplace in a way that transcends simply knowing about
one’s customers.
A Win-Loss analysis will also reveal the varied buying habits, challenges, and
adoption rates of customers competitors’ customers, and mutual prospects.
Just remember some guidelines to follow:
- Use professional researchers who are skilled in developing and implementing
a comprehensive and unbiased research plan.
- Select a good mix of win and loss situations to research—a mix that
provides a representative sample of recent business activity. This is critical
in order to ensure that you are gaining the most insight from the target markets/clients
that matter most.
- Develop a comprehensive research instrument that will serve as a framework
for producing insightful, timely, and actionable information.
By obtaining reliable and unbiased feedback from recent sales opportunities,
sales representatives can refine their techniques, learn how to effectively
target a client’s needs, and make appropriate presentations that put their
companies and products in the best possible light. A Win-Loss research program
provides empirical, yet pragmatic, information to drive business, products,
and marketing decisions toward an improved competitive advantage.
Copyright © 2007 by Decision Analyst, Inc.
This article may not be copied, published, or used in any way without written
permission of Decision Analyst.
Additional Resources from Decision Analyst
Joel Mincey is a Senior Vice President at Dallas-Fort Worth
based Decision Analyst. He may be reached at 800-262-5974 or
jmincey@decisionanalyst.com.
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