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Mock Juries
By
Jerry W. Thomas
The term mock jury refers to a type of group research that allows
lawyers to evaluate the potential reactions of jurors to their evidence and
arguments before a case goes to trial. Typically, a mock jury consists of eight
to 12 jurors who are assembled to hear a summary presentation of
both sides of a case. Once the case is presented, participants then discuss the
evidence and the arguments. Generally, lawyers observe the group discussion
from behind a one-way mirror or via remote video transmission. A typical
mock jury discussion lasts one to two hours.
The mock jury traces its origins to focus groups used in
marketing research and to the even earlier use of group therapy in clinical
psychology. The so-called focus group came into general use in the
business community after World War II, with very rapid growth in popularity
during the 70s and 80s. During this same era, the focus group technique was
adapted to the legal profession as a way to simulate a jury, and the term
mock jury gradually gained currency as its name.
Trial lawyer Bill Sims (Vinson & Elkins, Dallas), a pioneer in the use of
the technique in the Southwest, said, I have been a big believer in mock
juries and focus groups for over 10 years. I like to use mock juries twice
during a caseonce early on to get a feel for peoples visceral
reactions to the themes I anticipate each side stressing, and then again near
trial when I can weave in the facts that have come to light during
discovery.
Mock juries are not appropriate for every case, or even most cases. Since the
price of professionally conducted mock juries runs from $3,500 to $5,000 per
group, they should only be used when a lot is at stake (i.e., potential damage
awards of several hundred thousand dollars or more). Also, the more complicated
and involved the case is, the greater the potential benefit from mock juries.
The mock jury helps the attorney simplify and focus his case. Ergo, the greater
the complexity, the greater the benefit of simplification and focusing.
The mock jury is a rough predictor of the likely outcome, should a case go to
trial. If the attorney finds his case is weak and hopeless, he can follow the
admonition of Shakespeares Falstaff that the better part of valor
is discretion and settle the case out of court. On the other hand, if the
attorneys case is solid and strong, he can confidently move forward (and
move his client forward) toward trial. But prediction is not the greatest
benefit of mock juries.
Trial attorney Paul Watler (Jenkens & Gilchrist, Dallas), another leader in
the use of mock juries, said, I try not to look at the results of mock
juries as absolute predictors of actual trial outcomes, but rather as windows
into the jurors decision processto identify the stronger and weaker
parts of my case.
The mock jury also can be an effective tool to help the attorney manage his
client. If the client is overconfident, in a state of denial, or refusing to
face up to the risks of the case, sometimes the videotapes of mock jury
deliberations can be a powerful influence upon the clients attitudes and
behavior.
The mock jury is especially valuable in answering seven kinds of questions:
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What is the relative value of the different facts and evidence? What evidence
or facts do jurors place the most importance upon?
-
What evidence do jurors accept easily or accept at face value, and
what evidence is inherently weak (i.e., has to be fully substantiated or
proved)?
-
What is the relative value of different witnesses or testimony, and what
determines the credibility of the witness or his/her testimony?
-
What is the web of logic that jurors weave? How do
jurors fit the evidence and arguments together? What are the
linkages and relationships among evidence and arguments? If the attorney really
understands the jurors web of logic, then he has a much
better chance of preparing a winning case.
-
What words, terms, and phrases do jurors understand, and what
words, terms, and phrases should be avoided? In essence, what language should
the lawyer use to best communicate with the jury?
-
What emotions, feelings, and possibly hidden motives are influencing the
jurors? How do these emotions and motives shape the issues and the
debate within the jury?
-
What types of jurors are most likely to be favorable to your
clients case? What opinions are correlated with a favorable attitude
towards your clients case? This information can help in questioning and
selecting the final jury.
Lets assume an attorney has decided to use mock juries to help prepare
his case. What are some guidelines, or rules of thumb, to help ensure a
successful outcome? Here are several suggestions, based upon our 25 years of
experience with focus groups and mock juries:
Sampling. The mock jurors
must be representative of the types of jurors likely to be on the actual jury.
The mock jury should be conducted in the city the case will be tried in, or
at least nearby in a similar city. The jurors should be registered
voters or have a valid drivers license. Be sure to screen out anyone associated
with the judicial system, law enforcement, the legal profession, or news media.
Set quotas for men, women, and minorities so that the jurors are
representative of the people likely to appear on the actual jury.
The attorney should resist the temptation to preselect the jurors,
based upon common sense assumptions about who will be most favorable, or least
favorable, to his case, or who is likely to be struck by the
opposing counsel. A mock jury chosen without any bias or preselection criteria
(other than those noted to ensure representativeness) is ideal, because part of
the learning is to find out how different types of people respond to the case,
to help in the final jury selection process.
Presenting The Case.
The case must be condensed into a 20- to 30-minute presentation for each side,
and both sides of the case should receive equal effort and equal treatment.
It is best to have two different attorneys argue the plaintiffs and the
defendants cases. Insofar as possible, these two attorneys should be evenly
matched in experience and quality of presentation.
To ensure that both presentations are balanced and equally hard hitting,
you need to have an attorney not working on the case read both scripts to
verify that the presentations are, in fact, balanced, said Sims of Vinson
& Elkins.
The presentations can be in person or videotaped for presentation to
the mock jury. We strongly recommend videotaping the presentations. Any errors
or mistakes can be edited out, and weak sections can be redone and edited in to
build the final taped presentation. Also, it is sometimes possible to videotape
and insert footage of actual witnesses, actual evidence, or actual scenes into
the presentation.
Another reason for videotaping is to free the attorney from the distraction of
having to present in person, so that he can sit behind the one-way mirror and
focus his attention on the reactions of the jurors as the
presentation of the case unfolds. The better the taped presentations, the more
accurate the results from the mock juries will be. Therefore, we recommend that
professional video production experts be employed to prepare the tapes.
Facilities. If the case is to
be tried in a major metropolitan area (i.e., population of 500,000 or greater),
marketing research focus group facilities probably will be available. These
facilities will have focus group rooms and observation rooms with one-way mirrors.
If this type of facility is available, it should be used. If the case is to
be tried in a rural area or smaller city, then focus group facilities probably
will not be available, and meeting rooms in a hotel or community center will
have to suffice.
The videotaping and remote video transmission should be handled by a
professional videotaping firm. It is generally a good idea to have video
experts travel to the rural area or smaller city to handle the videotaping,
since local video talent is often missing or inadequate.
Recruiting. The recruiting
of participants is very important and should be conducted by a marketing research
company with experience in recruiting. Depending upon the geographic area, you
will want to overrecruit by about 40% to 50% to ensure that 8 to 10 jurors
show up for the mock jury (i.e., you will want to recruit 14 or so to ensure
that 8 to 10 actually show up). These jurors typically are paid
$50 to $75 for participating.
Size Of Jury. The purists
would argue that 12 is the only acceptable size. Any size from 8 to 12, in our
experience, works just as well. The larger the group, the more difficult it
is to follow and control, but otherwise the group dynamics are very similar
within the eight to 12 participant size range.
Number Of Juries. A minimum
of 3 to 4 mock juries is recommended. If the same pattern of response is repeated
across 3 of 4 groups, we can be reasonably confident in the validity and reliability
of the learning. Never do just one mock jury. It is simply too risky. Its
always possible to encounter a fluke mock jury (or a fluke real one, too).
Moderating. Some would
argue that the jurors should debate the case by themselves without
a facilitator or moderator in the room, while many would argue the counterpoint.
Our experience suggests that a moderator-led mock jury works best.
Without a moderator, the jurors tend to waste a lot of time choosing
a leader, and then the leader tends to dominate the conversation during the
early part of the session, possibly biasing the outcome. True, these
uncontrollable variables are at work in real juries (and tend to inject greater
variability in the outcome), but we dont need to mess up our
mock juries for the sake of simulating reality. What is important is for the
participants to get into the case quickly, to have full opportunity to interact
with other participants, and to feel free to express their feelings and
opinions openly and fully.
A good moderator can help achieve balanced interaction, keep more aggressive
participants from dominating the discussion, and keep the discussion focused
upon the key questions posed by the attorney. The moderator should be a low-key
facilitator, not a lawyer or judge or legal expert.
The moderator should not use legalese or legal terminology, if at
all possible. The participants should not know which side of the case the moderator
is representing. The moderator should appear as a neutral and unimportant
figure to the mock "jurors."
Observation.
Watching jurors react to a case can be a fascinating learning experience
for the attorney and/or his client. It also can be an ego-threatening nightmare.
Mock juries can turn negative at times and castigate the client, the attorney,
and the cherished beliefs and assertions of client and lawyer. If the lawyer
tends to be thin-skinned or very rigid in his thinking, he should perhaps avoid
the use of mock juries, because they may be so threatening to him that he really
wont learn much from the mock juries anyway.
Likewise, it is sometimes very dangerous to allow the client to observe the mock
jury with his lawyer, unless the lawyer has a very strong relationship with the
client, and the clients personality is such that he can accept the cold,
hard truth that mock jurors can dish out. A safer strategy is to videotape the
mock juries (again, using professional video people) and then decide if, how
much, when, and where to share with the client.
It is critically important for the attorney, however, to view the mock juries in
person, if at all possible. He can provide additional direction to the
moderator, as the sessions proceed, but most importantly he can see and hear
firsthand how jurors are reacting and thinking.
Work-Product. The
fruits of mock juries are probably protectable as lawyer work-product. To help
ensure this, the research firm must be retained by and act as the agent of the
attorney (not as an agent of the client). Also, anyone not directly involved
in the case should not observe the mock juries or have access to the results,
said Watler of Jenkins & Gilchrist.
Analysis.
The most important analysis of the results is performed by the attorney, since
only he knows all the issues, the situation, the client, and the legal context.
If the moderator is a marketing and/or motivational expert, then his insights
into the marketing and motivational implications of the mock juries can sometimes
be helpful to the attorney, since preparing a case for the jury is somewhat
analogous to developing a marketing strategy.
As a final note, the single most important benefit from using mock juries may
be the self-improvement of the lawyer. An attorney who understands how ordinary
people behave in a jury setting, who understands how ordinary people react to
him personally and his style of presentation, will almost always outperform
an attorney who is lacking this jury sense and experience. No lawyer
ever gets to observe firsthand what actually goes on behind the closed doors
in the jury room when his cases are debated, no matter how many years he has
been practicing law. The only way this jury experience can be gained
is through mock juries.
Copyright © 1993 by Decision Analyst, Inc.
This article may not be copied, published, or used in any way without written
permission of Decision Analyst.
Additional Resources from Decision Analyst
To contact the author, Jerry W. Thomas, please call 1.800.262.5974 or
email him at jthomas@decisionanalyst.com.
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